Velocity factors are sometimes ignored as a technique to handicap horse races. Some folks assume that they’re quaint and not related, however nothing may very well be farther from the reality. Velocity factors, together with race fractions and tempo figures, may also help you to know what is going to occur in a race. Understanding the race situation will enable you to choose many winners at good costs.
As you in all probability already know, velocity factors point out a horses operating model. Horses are creatures of behavior and normally have a selected model of operating a race. Some horses gun to the entrance and wish to be the chief. Others will run near the entrance with a great flip of early velocity whereas others might shut from the again of the pack.
Velocity factors inform you which sort of operating model every horse makes use of. As a result of the horses every have a selected a part of the pack they need to run in, they’ll do nearly something to be there and that’s the key. If you mix tempo figures and or race fractions you’ll begin to perceive what a runner’s chances are high of sustaining its place and having sufficient vitality left on the finish of the race to complete nicely.
Let’s take a look at a hypothetical scenario to show how you need to use velocity factors to discover a winner. For example there’s a race with a number of entrance runners within the race. A have a look at the fractions that they set of their final races and the way aggressive they had been with these fractions will present us the contenders from the pretenders.
for example horse A has been burning up the monitor with 1 / 4 fraction of 21 and a half mile at 47 and ending nicely at 1:10 for a six furlong race.
horse B, additionally a entrance runner has solely managed 22 on the quarter and 47.3 on the half
horse C has even worse fractions with a 22.2 and a 48
Neither horse B or C has completed a race in lower than 1:11.
It’s starting to seem like making an attempt to maintain up with horse A within the early levels of the race will tire horse B and horse C and they’ll lose the race, even perhaps failing to complete within the cash.
However keep in mind, horse A will nonetheless need to take care of them and whereas malaysian horse racing A might put on them out, they’ll nonetheless push horse A. If the time of 1:10 that horse A achieved prior to now was in races the place there wasn’t a lot early velocity, then horse A should handle to carry on and win, however will it have the ability to handle a last time of 1:10 flat and win?
The important thing to that’s to take a look at the horses who shut from off the tempo and to see if they will keep shut sufficient within the early going and nonetheless beat horse A’s time within the stretch, or last time. A glance a the opposite horses exhibits that horse D does certainly run from off the tempo and but his time within the fractions continues to be aggressive. He has been aggressive operating fractions of twenty-two.3 and 47.1 and managed to complete the race with a 1:10.1.
Now you, as a handicapper, know the way the race is beginning to form up. there will probably be three horses vying for the lead and expending a number of vitality within the early going. The query is, will horse A maintain on and handle to carry off horse D within the stretch run. It definitely appears like it will likely be shut, does not it? That is the great thing about utilizing velocity factors together with tempo figures or fractions. You may have managed the identical calculations utilizing tempo figures as a substitute of fractions and are available to the identical conclusion, however you would wish the velocity factors to know every runner’s model.
Now the race seems to be between two horses and will go both means. It now turns into a matter of getting the perfect odds. If horse A goes off at 9-5 as the favourite and horse D goes off at greater odds, say 3-1 or extra, then the selection is clear. Go for the upper odds. That’s the means velocity factors are nonetheless related and may nonetheless enable you to have successful days on the monitor.